Lichtenberg vs Preussen Eberswalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
TEN
1 - 1
LIC
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LIC
0 - 1
SVY
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BAK
3 - 1
LIC
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LIC
2 - 0
TUR
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
HER
2 - 0
LIC
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Preussen Eberswalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PRE
0 - 2
TUR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
HER
4 - 1
PRE
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PRE
2 - 1
BSC
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BAK
1 - 2
PRE
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PRE
2 - 0
STA
38%
25%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |