Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
TEN
2 - 0
LIC
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LIC
2 - 2
STA
55%
21%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LIC
1 - 0
LIC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
LIC
3 - 0
REI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LIC
1 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
OPT
0 - 1
HER
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
MSV
3 - 0
OPT
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
OPT
2 - 3
FES
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
OPT
1 - 3
TEN
22%
25%
52%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
STA
4 - 1
OPT
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |