Lichtenberg vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LIC
1 - 2
SCH
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
BAK
2 - 2
LIC
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LIC
0 - 1
PRE
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LAS
0 - 2
LIC
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
BRA
3 - 1
LIC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 4
HER
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 0
GRE
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
GRE
3 - 2
OPT
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TEN
2 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 1
STA
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |