Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviário Pemba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 1
LIC
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 0
TEX
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LIG
5 - 0
LIC
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 0
FER
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAX
1 - 0
LIC
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PEM
1 - 0
MUC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HCB
3 - 2
PEM
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PEM
0 - 1
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
COS
1 - 1
PEM
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PEM
2 - 1
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |