Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
BTF
1 - 1
LIC
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TEX
1 - 2
LIC
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
DES
42%
29%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HCB
2 - 0
LIC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 1
FER
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
COS
4 - 1
TEX
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
COS
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
HCB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
COS
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COS
2 - 3
BBM
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |