Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baía de Pemba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
COS
3 - 1
LIC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
BTF
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
3 - 1
TEX
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 1
LIC
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
HCB
28%
29%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 1
TEX
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
BDP
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
HCB
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
BDP
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
BDP
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |