Licata vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
FCC
1 - 1
LIC
47%
29%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
LIC
1 - 0
TRI
54%
26%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
REG
2 - 1
LIC
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
CAG
2 - 0
AVE
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
PES
2 - 1
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
AVE
4 - 0
COS
50%
28%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
REG
4 - 1
AVE
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |