Licata vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 4
LIC
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 1
SAN
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 1
LIC
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 1
TRA
16%
23%
62%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
LIC
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
USC
3 - 1
ASD
54%
25%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 3
USC
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USC
1 - 0
TRA
7%
18%
75%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +2 |