Licata vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
21%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
COS
1 - 1
LIC
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 3
PAR
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
TOR
2 - 0
LIC
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 0
PES
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
LIC
48%
28%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
MES
1 - 2
PAD
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
AVE
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |