Licata vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
13º
12º
29
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 0
LIC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIC
1 - 0
ACI
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REG
2 - 0
LIC
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LIC
2 - 0
FCI
77%
15%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
LIC
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 2
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SIR
6 - 1
LUC
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 5
LAT
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ACI
2 - 1
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 0
REG
6%
21%
73%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | +1 |