Licata vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 0
LIC
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
LIC
1 - 0
CAG
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
LIC
51%
29%
21%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
FCC
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
TRI
2 - 1
LIC
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ANC
5 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANC
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
ANC
3 - 1
SSB
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
TOR
4 - 1
ANC
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |