FC Libourne vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
84%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
18.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
15.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 0
GDB
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 3
STA
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LES
0 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 3
TAR
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCL
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 0
TFC
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 2
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PFC
2 - 2
TFC
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
6 - 0
AUX
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 0
TFC
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |