FC Libourne vs Stade Montois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
6
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CNF
0 - 4
FCL
16%
20%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
GUE
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POI
1 - 4
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCL
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GDB
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Montois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
CHA
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NIO
4 - 1
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LES
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CNF
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
4 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |