FC Libourne vs Bourges Foot 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
3º
37
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
FCL
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
ANG
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 2
FCL
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 3
AVO
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
LES
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 2
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
GOB
31%
27%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
TRE
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |