Libya vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
EQG
2 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
LBY
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
KWT
0 - 2
LBY
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UGA
3 - 0
TAN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 1
UGA
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
NIG
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
UZB
4 - 2
UGA
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |