Libya vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LBY
0 - 0
UGA
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
EQG
2 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
LBY
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 0
UGA
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UGA
3 - 0
TAN
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 1
UGA
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TAN
2 - 1
SOM
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
TAN
9%
20%
71%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |