Libya vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBY
66%
23%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
LBY
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 1
EQG
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 2
TAN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
RWA
0 - 0
TAN
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TAN
0 - 1
SDN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TAN
1 - 1
BDI
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |