Libya vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
LBY
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
0 - 0
LBY
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LBY
1 - 0
MOZ
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 0
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
IND
0 - 5
ZAM
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZAM
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |