Libya vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1982 |
LBY
0 - 0
CMR
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
LBY
2 - 0
TUN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1982 |
LBY
2 - 2
GHA
44%
24%
31%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1982 |
LBY
2 - 0
GUI
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
3 - 0
LBY
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ZAM
3 - 0
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ETH
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1982 |
ZAM
2 - 0
BOT
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1981 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |