Libya vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 0
KEN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 0
KEN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBY
8 - 0
STP
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
STP
0 - 1
LBY
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
LBY
6 - 2
SWZ
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 0
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
UKR
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 0
NIR
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 2
ROU
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
GRC
1 - 0
UKR
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |