Libya vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
LBY
86%
11%
4%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
TAN
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
AUS
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 0
TUN
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
TUN
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |