Libya vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
CGO
1 - 0
LBY
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
LBY
1 - 1
COD
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 0
NIG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 1
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUN
1 - 0
TAN
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
1 - 1
TUN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EQG
0 - 1
TUN
12%
23%
66%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |