Libya vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COD
4 - 0
LBY
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
LBY
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
LBY
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LBY
4 - 0
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
LBY
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 3
TUN
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 33 | 49 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
TOG
0 - 0
TUN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |