Libya vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBY
67%
22%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
8 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 1
TUN
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
JPN
2 - 0
TUN
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 2
EQG
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |