Libya vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
LBY
71%
20%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
LBY
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
EQG
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
28%
51%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
1 - 0
MTN
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 2
SDN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |