Libya vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 8
LBY
5%
12%
84%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBY
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NGA
4 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
LBY
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
PAR
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
RSA
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
RSA
6 - 0
SYC
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
LBY
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |