Libya vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
LBY
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
LBY
2 - 1
MUS
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBY
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BFA
1 - 2
LBY
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
LBY
3 - 1
KWT
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
RWA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
RWA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
RWA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
RWA
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 0
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |