Libya vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LBY
4 - 0
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
LBY
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RWA
1 - 3
LBY
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
RWA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CGO
60%
24%
15%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CPV
60%
25%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 4
MAR
20%
27%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |