Libya vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBY
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
LBY
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
UAE
1 - 1
LBY
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
0 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ANG
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZIM
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
COD
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |