Libya vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
3 - 2
LBY
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
LBY
1 - 1
ALG
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
LBY
5 - 1
SYC
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
3 - 2
LBY
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
5 - 0
SEN
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
7 - 0
GNB
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 3
GUI
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |