Libya vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
LBY
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
1 - 1
LBY
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 2
LBY
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
0 - 0
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
COD
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
GHA
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |