Libya vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
3 - 0
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 2
ERI
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 1
LBY
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EGY
0 - 0
LBY
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GAB
0 - 0
COD
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 0
CIV
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
BEN
2 - 2
GAB
31%
24%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |