Libya vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LBY
4 - 1
BEN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 1
LBY
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2004 |
LBY
0 - 0
CMR
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
CIV
2 - 0
LBY
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
BFA
3 - 2
LBY
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
EGY
3 - 2
CMR
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
BEN
3 - 3
EGY
8%
22%
70%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
EGY
1 - 2
CIV
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 3
EGY
21%
27%
52%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
EGY
2 - 0
GAB
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |