Libya vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
LBY
5 - 1
SYC
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LBY
0 - 0
TOG
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
TOG
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 2
ALG
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
TUN
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |