Libya vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LBY
2 - 1
TAN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBY
66%
23%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
NIG
0 - 3
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
1 - 2
NIG
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
NIG
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ETH
3 - 0
NIG
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
NIG
1 - 0
ETH
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |