Libya vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
LBY
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GAB
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
3 - 0
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 2
ERI
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
LBY
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
2 - 3
GHA
11%
23%
66%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 1
LSO
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MOZ
2 - 3
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 4
LSO
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |