Libya vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
KWT
0 - 2
LBY
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBY
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LBY
1 - 1
ANG
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ALG
5 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |