Libertas vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TPE
3 - 0
LIB
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 0
LIB
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
7%
16%
77%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAI
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
3 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |