Libertas vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 2
MUR
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 2
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
2 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 4
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |