Libertas vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
DOM
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 1
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |