Libertas vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
TPE
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
4 - 2
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
LIB
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 2
FIO
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
VIR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |