Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIB
6 - 0
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
31%
23%
47%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 1
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 0
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
TFI
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 2
TPE
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |