Libertas vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
16%
18%
66%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 3
FIO
9%
21%
70%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SGI
2 - 0
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 2
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
68%
20%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TPE
5 - 0
SGI
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |