Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 2-2
Libertas vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
4 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 0
LIB
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
FAE
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
CAI
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COS
3 - 3
LIB
31%
29%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 0
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 0
LIB
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 1
SGI
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 5
TFI
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |