Libertas vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 4
FOL
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 3
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
20%
25%
54%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 2
BOT
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 4
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
SGI
49%
22%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 3
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 4
SGI
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 0
SGI
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |