Libertas vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 3
VIR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
LIB
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 4
TPE
11%
20%
70%
|
28 | 69 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 2
TFI
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |