Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 1
MUR
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 3
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
7 - 3
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
5 - 1
COS
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |