Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 2
TFI
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 2
LIB
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
7 - 1
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
TFI
27%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
COS
2 - 1
PEN
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |