Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 0
PEN
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 5
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |