Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
TFI
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 0
PEN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 3
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |